Poll shows Arizona AG Brnovich with clear lead in GOP US Senate race

Nov 24, 2021, 4:35 AM
From left, Mark Brnovich, Mick McGuire and Blake Masters (Facebook Photos)...
From left, Mark Brnovich, Mick McGuire and Blake Masters (Facebook Photos)
(Facebook Photos)

PHOENIX – With less than nine months to go until the 2022 primary, Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich is holding firm as the clear Republican front-runner for U.S. senate, according to polling released Tuesday.

Brnovich is the top choice among 27% of the registered GOP voters surveyed by Phoenix-based research firm OH Predictive Insights earlier this month.

Former Arizona National Guard leader Mick McGuire is the only other hopeful in double figures at 12%.

A pair of businessmen, Blake Masters at 9% and Jim Lamon at 5%, and Arizona Corporation Commissioner Justin Olson at 2% round out the polling.

The findings reported were based on an opt-in panel survey conducted Nov. 1-8, with a margin of error of 3.7%.

Brnovich’s numbers haven’t changed since September polling by OH Predictive Insights, but McGuire fell 2 percentage points further behind.

Each of the other candidates picked up 2-3 points. Olson wasn’t included in the September polling because he hadn’t yet entered the race.

The “unsure” column declined from 51% to 46% in the last two months.

Whoever gets the GOP nomination will be positioned to make a strong challenge against the Democratic incumbent, Sen. Mark Kelly, in a race considered a key to control of the chamber.

Polling of the registered voters from both parties showed Kelly at 40% and any Republican candidate at 39%, with 21% unsure.

The 2022 primary election will be held Aug. 2. The general election follows on Nov. 8.

Lifetime Windows & Doors

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

Downtown Phoenix. (Screenshot/City of Phoenix Webcam)...

Weekend wrap-up: Here are the biggest Arizona stories from Dec. 2-4

Storms across the Valley over the weekend left some residents without power and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona wants solutions for Title 42.
1 day ago
(Photo by Eric Thayer/Getty Images)...
Associated Press

Case against former Tucson officer heading back to grand jury

A manslaughter case against former Tucson, Arizona police Officer Ryan Remington is going back to a grand jury.
1 day ago
(Facebook Photo/Phoenix Police Department)...

Fiery crash over the weekend leaves 3 dead, 2 injured in Phoenix

Three people were killed after their vehicle caught fire when it was rear-ended by a vehicle with two men inside on Saturday night in Phoenix.
1 day ago
Rain in the West Valley, via Arizona Department of Transportation Traffic Camera...

Weekend storm sets new daily rain record in Phoenix

Recent storms passing across the Valley set new rainfall records at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport on Saturday.
1 day ago
An American bald eagle flies over Mill Pond on July 29, 2018 in Centerport, New York.  (Photo by Br...
Alex Weiner

Arizona Game and Fish takes measures to avoid disturbing bald eagles during breeding season

Bald eagle mating season is here, and wildlife officials in Arizona are warning recreationists and pilots to avoid disturbing breeding areas. 
1 day ago
(Federal American Grill Photo)...
Brandon Brown/Phoenix Business Journal

Houston restaurant to open first Arizona location in Scottsdale

Federal American Grill, a restaurant concept based in Houston, will open its first Arizona location in Scottsdale in the coming weeks.
1 day ago

Sponsored Articles

Day & Night Air Conditioning, Heating and Plumbing

Prep the plumbing in your home just in time for the holidays

With the holidays approaching, it's important to know when your home is in need of heating and plumbing updates before more guests start to come around.
(Photo via MLB's Arizona Fall League / Twitter)...
Arizona Fall League

Top prospects to watch at this year’s Arizona Fall League

One of the most exciting elements of the MLB offseason is the Arizona Fall League, which began its 30th season Monday.
Day & Night Air Conditioning, Heating and Plumbing

Ways to prevent clogged drains and what to do if you’re too late

While there are a variety of ways to prevent clogged drains, it's equally as important to know what to do when you're already too late.
Poll shows Arizona AG Brnovich with clear lead in GOP US Senate race