ARIZONA NEWS

Poll: Salmon exit helps Taylor Robson, but Lake still leads Arizona GOP governor race

Jul 6, 2022, 10:54 AM

Kari Lake, left, and Karrin Taylor Robson...

Kari Lake, left, and Karrin Taylor Robson (Facebook Photos)

(Facebook Photos)

PHOENIX – Karrin Taylor Robson picked up ground in Arizona’s Republican gubernatorial primary race after Matt Salmon withdrew last week, but Kari Lake is still leading, according to new polling.

“With Salmon dropping out of the race, it showed that about 80% of his votes went to Robson, with about 20% going to Lake,” OH Predictive Insights chief of research Mike Noble told KTAR News 92.3 FM’s The Mike Broomhead Show on Wednesday, after the Phoenix-based research firm published its latest findings.

“So, it really helped boost up Robson and keep her competitive in this contest.”

But because Salmon’s support had dwindled to 6%, Lake remained the front-runner, a role she’s held since the early days of the campaign.

Lake’s lead over Taylor Robson is now 5 points, 40%-35%, according to OH Predictive Insights’ post-Salmon poll. Lake’s advantage was 8 points, 39%-31%, before Salmon withdrew on June 28 and endorsed Taylor Robson a day later.

Early voting for the Aug. 2 primary started Wednesday, when the first voting centers opened and mail ballots were sent out.

“It’s a two-way race right now. … I think it’s going to be a close race,” Noble said. “I don’t think either one is going to blow the other one out of the water.”

The latest poll, which was conducted June 30-July 2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3%, shows 21% of likely GOP voters still unsure.

Noble said more voters have formed an opinion about Lake than Taylor Robson, which leaves Taylor Robson with more opportunities to add support.

“Basically, Lake’s at her top of support — so she’s kind of maxed out of where she can be, she can’t really grow anymore — where Robson has an opportunity to grow,” he said.

“The only thing is that the clock is ticking, with early voting beginning this week.”

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

Kari Lake, Arizona Republican candidate for governor, speaks to supporters at the Republican watch ...

KTAR.com

Judge denies Maricopa County’s request for sanctions against Kari Lake

A judge on Friday ruled not to award sanctions sought by attorneys for Maricopa County against Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake.

16 hours ago

(Photo by Alexandra Aley/Cronkite News)...

KTAR.com

Gas prices increase throughout Arizona at start of holiday weekend

Just in time for the long holiday weekend, gas prices in Arizona have increased after dropping for a few days

16 hours ago

(Pexels Photo)...

Associated Press

Maricopa County report lists 4 heat-related deaths so far this year

Maricopa County officials say there have already been four heat-related deaths in 2023.

16 hours ago

More homes are being planned for the Asante master-planned community in the far West Valley. (Mark ...

Angela Gonzales/Phoenix Business Journal

Homebuilders set to construct 2,700 homes in West Valley community

Three national homebuilders are working their way through planning and zoning to add 2,700 more homes in Surprise.

16 hours ago

Longtime Phoenix, Arizona, concert promotor Danny Zelisko lost a close friend remembers Tina Turner...

Kevin Stone

Valley concert promotor Danny Zelisko remembers Tina Turner: ‘She just became a friend’

While the world lost another hero when Tina Turner died this week, longtime Valley concert promotor Danny Zelisko lost a close friend.

16 hours ago

(Photo by Alexander Klein/Getty Images)...

KTAR.com

High-tech traffic signs heading to Arizona as part of $1 million federal grant

High-tech traffic signs are heading to Arizona as part of a $1 million advanced technology and infrastructure grant to enhance safety.

16 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

...

Desert Institute for Spine Care

Spinal fusion surgery has come a long way, despite misconceptions

As Dr. Justin Field of the Desert Institute for Spine Care explained, “we've come a long way over the last couple of decades.”

...

OCD & Anxiety Treatment Center

How to identify the symptoms of 3 common anxiety disorders

Living with an anxiety disorder can be debilitating and cause significant stress for those who suffer from the condition.

(Photo by Michael Matthey/picture alliance via Getty Images)...

Cox Communications

Valley Boys & Girls Club uses esports to help kids make healthy choices

KTAR’s Community Spotlight focuses on the Boys & Girls Club of the Valley and the work to incorporate esports into children's lives.

Poll: Salmon exit helps Taylor Robson, but Lake still leads Arizona GOP governor race