Sen. Martha McSally reduces Mark Kelly lead in latest Arizona poll

Jul 14, 2020, 7:40 AM | Updated: 2:19 pm
Mark Kelly Martha McSally Arizona Senate race 2020...
Mark Kelly, left, and Sen. Martha McSally. (KTAR News Photos)
(KTAR News Photos)

PHOENIX – A new poll released Tuesday of likely Arizona voters found that Sen. Martha McSally is making some headway against opponent Mark Kelly in the battle for her job.

Kelly still leads the Republican 52%-43% in OH Predictive Insights’ survey, but the margin has shrunk from 13 percentage points in a similar poll taken in May.

But the phone poll of 600 also revealed 12% of Republican voters favored Kelly.

“The formula for a Republican winning statewide office in Arizona involves locking up the GOP vote and garnering just enough independents,” OH Predictive Insights chief pollster Mike Noble said in a press release.

“Sen. McSally appears to be having a difficult time doing either.”

Kelly leads McSally with independents, 59%-32%.

Democrats, overwhelmingly, went with Kelly at 91%.

Only 5% said they were undecided.

Kelly also was doing well in Arizona’s most populous county Maricopa, and Pima, which is McSally’s stomping ground.

Noble said only one Republican has ever lost Maricopa County and won a statewide election in Arizona, former Superintendent of Public Instruction Diane Douglas in 2014.

McSally is ahead in rural counties, 53%-43%.

The poll, conducted July 6-7, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4%.

According to poll aggregating website, the new OH Predictive Insights poll matched the largest lead for Kelly in any of the seven previous polls on the race published this month.

Lifetime Windows & Doors

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

(Facebook File Photo/Phoenix Police Department)...

Police investigate Phoenix hit-and-run that left pedestrian dead

Police are investigating a Phoenix hit-and-run after a pedestrian crossing the street was killed on Sunday evening.
22 hours ago
Katie Hobbs, the Democratic governor-elect and current secretary of state, signs the official certi...

Arizona Sec. of State Hobbs requests recount of 3 election races

Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs requested on Monday evening a recount of three general election races.
22 hours ago
(File Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)...
Associated Press

Fugitive since 2013 arrested in Mexico, extradited to Arizona

The FBI says a fugitive wanted for his involvement in a criminal drug enterprise has been extradited from Mexico and returned to Tucson.
22 hours ago
(Facebook Photo/Morgan Wallen)...

Country artist Morgan Wallen to perform next year at Chase Field in downtown Phoenix

Country artist Morgan Wallen announced last week an upcoming stop in the Valley for his 2023 world tour.
22 hours ago
(Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)...
Danny Shapiro

Ron Wolfley expects Patriots to corner Kyler Murray, run the ball against Cardinals

Cardinals radio personality and Arizona Sports host Ron Wolfley has ideas on how the Patriots will play the Cardinals next Monday.
22 hours ago
Arizona Supreme Court Chief Justice Robert Brutinel, left, signs the official Arizona general elect...
Kevin Stone

Arizona certifies 2022 election, setting stage for lawsuits, recounts

Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs certified the state's 2022 general election Monday, but it doesn’t close the books on the midterms.
22 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

(Desert Institute for Spine Care photo)...

Why DISC is world renowned for back and neck pain treatments

Fifty percent of Americans and 90% of people at least 50 years old have some level of degenerative disc disease.
(Photo via MLB's Arizona Fall League / Twitter)...
Arizona Fall League

Top prospects to watch at this year’s Arizona Fall League

One of the most exciting elements of the MLB offseason is the Arizona Fall League, which began its 30th season Monday.
Day & Night Air Conditioning, Heating and Plumbing

Ways to prevent clogged drains and what to do if you’re too late

While there are a variety of ways to prevent clogged drains, it's equally as important to know what to do when you're already too late.
Sen. Martha McSally reduces Mark Kelly lead in latest Arizona poll