Arizona Republican voters largely undecided on down-ballot primary races

Jul 12, 2022, 2:51 PM

(KTAR News Photo)...

(KTAR News Photo)

(KTAR News Photo)

PHOENIX – Uncertainty reigns in Arizona’s statewide down-ballot Republican primary races with the election just weeks away, new polling found.

At least two-thirds of respondents were unsure about their preference for secretary of state, attorney general, treasurer and superintendent of public instruction, according to results released Tuesday by OH Predictive Insights.

The findings were based on a survey conducted June 30-July 2, one month before the Aug. 2 primary election. Early voting started last week.

The poll of likely Republican voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3%.

“The governor and Senate primary is taking up much of the oxygen (and airtime) away from these down-ticket races,” Mike Noble, chief of research for OH Predictive Insights, said in a press release.

Last week, the Phoenix-based research firm released GOP primary polling results showing 21% unsure about their vote in the governor’s race and 35% unsure in the U.S. Senate contest.

The attorney general race is the most muddled Republican primary contest, with six candidates polling from 3% to 7%, and 67% unsure.

Mark Finchem (secretary of state), Kimberly Yee (treasurer) and Tom Horne (superintendent of public instruction) are the only GOP down-ballot candidates polling in double digits, but none of them are above 20%.

Yee is the only incumbent in any of the Republican primary races.

“With voters predominantly undecided in these races, their respective campaign efforts will be critical as they chase ballots, get out the vote, and spend their hard-earned campaign dollars leading up to Election Day,” Noble said.

Here are the results released Tuesday by OH Predictive Insights (percentages from April polling in parentheses):

Secretary of state

  • Mark Finchem: 14% (13%)
  • Michelle Ugenti Rita: 6% (9%)
  • Beau Lane: 5% (2%)
  • Shawnna Bolick: 3% (3%)
  • Unsure: 72% (73%)

Attorney general

  • Abe Hamadeh: 7% (3%)
  • Rodney Glassman: 6% (5%)
  • Andy Gould: 6% (5%)
  • Dawn Grove: 5% (3%)
  • Tiffany Shedd: 4% (4%)
  • Lacy Cooper: 3% (4%)
  • Unsure: 67% (75%)


  • Kimberly Yee: 19% (21%)
  • Jeff Weninger: 5% (7%)
  • Bob Lettieri: 5% (3%)
  • Unsure: 71% (67%)

Superintendent of public instruction

  • Tom Horne: 18% (16%)
  • Michelle Udall: 9% (8%)
  • Shiry Sapir: 7% (2%)
  • Unsure: 66% (66%)
  • (Note: Two candidates withdrew from the race since April polling was conducted)

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

(Getty Images Photos)...

Arizona’s Sinema says she was happy to play liaison role on debt ceiling negotiations

U.S. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona said Thursday her role in helping push forward negotiations on lifting the nation's debt ceiling was to be a liaison, a position she was happy to fill.

14 hours ago

(Facebook Photo/Phoenix Police Department)...

Taylor Kinnerup and Kate Ourada

Arizona’s News Roundup: Canal killer death sentence, Phoenix PD rolls out crime reduction plan

Arizona's News Roundup this week covered the canal killer's death sentence and Phoenix Police's new crime reduction plan.

14 hours ago

(Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)...

MCSO’s Penzone expects scanner program at jails to be implemented within weeks

Maricopa County Sheriff Paul Penzone said a scanner program that will detect for drugs and other contraband going in and out of jails will be up and running within weeks.

14 hours ago

(Facebook Photo/Axis for Autism)...

SuElen Rivera

Autism evaluation, therapy clinic opens first East Valley location

A clinic offering autism diagnostic services and ABA therapy is expanding its presence in the Valley with the opening of a new clinic in Gilbert.

14 hours ago

Wreckage after BNSF freight train carrying new vehicles derailed overnight in Coconino County, Ariz...

Freight train carrying new vehicles derails in northern Arizona

Nobody was injured when a freight train carrying new vehicles derailed in northern Arizona overnight, officials said Thursday.

14 hours ago

Photos of a stolen husky puppy and suspects Logan Niemann and Taylor Sines. The Glendale, Arizona, ...

Kevin Stone

Glendale couple arrested for allegedly stealing husky puppy last month

A Glendale couple was arrested Wednesday for allegedly stealing a husky puppy from a breeder last month, authorities said.

14 hours ago

Sponsored Articles


Desert Institute for Spine Care

Spinal fusion surgery has come a long way, despite misconceptions

As Dr. Justin Field of the Desert Institute for Spine Care explained, “we've come a long way over the last couple of decades.”

(Photo: OCD & Anxiety Treatment Center)...

OCD & Anxiety Treatment Center

Here’s what you need to know about OCD and where to find help

It's fair to say that most people know what obsessive-compulsive spectrum disorders generally are, but there's a lot more information than meets the eye about a mental health diagnosis that affects about one in every 100 adults in the United States.

(Desert Institute for Spine Care in Arizona Photo)...

Desert Institute for Spine Care in Arizona

5 common causes for chronic neck pain

Neck pain can debilitate one’s daily routine, yet 80% of people experience it in their lives and 20%-50% deal with it annually.

Arizona Republican voters largely undecided on down-ballot primary races