ARIZONA NEWS

Phoenix pollsters see no way for Trump to catch Biden in Arizona

Nov 6, 2020, 12:15 PM | Updated: 1:11 pm
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden takes his face mask off as he arrives to speak one day af...
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden takes his face mask off as he arrives to speak one day after Americans voted in the presidential election, on November 04, 2020 in Wilmington, Delaware. Biden spoke as votes are still being counted in his tight race against incumbent U.S. President Donald Trump. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
(Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

PHOENIX – Two prominent Phoenix polling firms said Friday they expect Democrat Joe Biden to win Arizona, joining two major media outlets that controversially made the projection on Election Day.

Data Orbital and OH Predictive Insights made their proclamations on social media after results were released Friday morning showing a small gain by President Donald Trump.

“It does not appear plausible that Donald Trump will be able to make up his deficit with the ballots left to be counted,” OH Predictive Insights tweeted.

“While the margin will continue to tighten, with the updates from this morning it has become unlikely that President Trump can overtake Biden and win #AZ,” Data Orbital tweeted.

Data Orbital President George Khalaf told KTAR News 92.3 FM on Friday the race will continue to tighten, but he expects Biden to notch a narrow victory.

“The president needed to win this morning’s update for Maricopa County by about 14 or 15%,” Khalaf said. “He only won the update by about 5%. So barring anything really crazy happening in other parts of the state, primarily in Pinal County and rural Arizona, it is highly unlikely that he is still on the trajectory to take over Arizona.

It was a reversal from what he told “Hannity” viewers the previous night.

“We’re still confident about the president’s path in Arizona,” Khalaf said during a Thursday interview on the Fox News program.

Before the election, both firms showed Biden ahead in Arizona, although by amounts that had been shrinking and were within the margin of error.

Data Orbital had the Democrat with a narrow lead of less than 1 percentage point in its final poll, while OH Predictive Insights’ last survey showed the former vice president up by 3 points.

After Arizona’s initial results were reported on Election Day, The Associated Press and Fox News called the state for Biden.

Calls by media outlets have no official standing and can’t influence elections because they aren’t made until polls are closed.

Regardless, conservatives turned on Fox News over the Arizona call, with the network among the targets of protesters who have gathered in Phoenix since Election Day.

In a report Thursday afternoon, Fox’s Harris Faulkner listed Arizona among states “too close to call,” even though Fox had called it. Bill Hemmer, who has been closely monitoring the vote count on Fox, told viewers that “we’ll see” if that call needed to be adjusted.

But Fox’s decision desk leaders have made several appearances on the air to explain the Arizona call and say it was standing by it.

“Arizona is doing just what we expected it to do and we remain serene and pristine,” said Fox politics editor Chris Stirewalt.

If the Arizona projection hold up, Biden will clinch the presidency if wins any of the three undecided battleground states in which he was leading on Friday: Nevada, Pennsylvania and Georgia.

When The Associated Press called Arizona for Biden in the wee hours of Wednesday, about 80% of the expected vote was counted. Biden was ahead by 5 percentage points, with a roughly 130,000-vote lead over Trump.

The wire service election experts determined that there weren’t enough ballots remaining for Trump to catch up to the former vice president.

By Friday morning, Biden’s lead was down to under 44,000 votes, an edge of just 1.4 percentage points.

But the number of uncounted votes had dwindled to around 238,000 statewide.

Secretary of State Katie Hobbs told KTAR News’ The Mike Broomhead Show on Friday she expects all the counting, except provisional ballots, to be finished by the weekend. Counties have until Tuesday to resolve provisional ballots.

Biden is looking to become the first Democratic presidential candidate favored in Arizona since Bill Clinton in 1996.

KTAR News 92.3 FM’s Ali Vetnar and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Lifetime Windows & Doors

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

(Queen Creek Photo)...
KTAR.com

Ground broken on next phase of Mansel Carter Oasis Park in Queen Creek

Ground has been broken on the next phase of a park in Queen Creek that is expected to be completed by late next year.
21 hours ago
(Arizona Department of Transportation Photo)...
Kevin Stone

Weeknight closures on I-17 north of Phoenix will impede traffic for months

Interstate 17 north of Phoenix will be closed several nights a week well into next year so crews can blast rocks to make space for new lanes.
21 hours ago
(Facebook Photo/Maricopa County)...
KTAR.com

Maricopa County certifies 2022 midterm election, leaving Cochise as lone holdout

Maricopa County certified the 2022 midterm election, leaving Cochise County as the lone holdout ahead of Monday's deadline.
21 hours ago
(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)...
Danny Shapiro

Ron Wolfley says Arizona Cardinals were hard-luck losers against Chargers

The Arizona Cardinals lost a heartbreaker on Sunday to the Los Angeles Chargers, a defeat Ron Wolfley said was tough luck.
21 hours ago
(Facebook Photo/U.S. Dog Agility Association)...
KTAR.com

Dogs will have run of the place in Scottsdale at Agility World Games

There will be no dogging it this week in Scottsdale when nearly 500 of the most athletic canines in the country will compete to be the best at the Cynosport Dog Agility World Games.
21 hours ago
An election worker removes tabulated ballots to be boxed inside the Maricopa County Recorders Offic...
Associated Press

GOP-controlled Cochise County refuses to certify 2022 election

Officials in a rural Arizona county refused Monday to certify the 2022 election ahead of the deadline amid pressure from prominent Republicans to reject a vote count
21 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

(Desert Institute for Spine Care photo)...
DESERT INSTITUTE FOR SPINE CARE

Why DISC is world renowned for back and neck pain treatments

Fifty percent of Americans and 90% of people at least 50 years old have some level of degenerative disc disease.
...
Quantum Fiber

Stream 4K and more with powerful, high-speed fiber internet

Picking which streaming services to subscribe to are difficult choices, and there is no room for internet that cannot handle increased demands.
...
Quantum Fiber

How high-speed fiber internet can improve everyday life

Quantum Fiber supplies unlimited data with speeds up to 940 mbps, enough to share 4K videos with coworkers 20 times faster than a cable.
Phoenix pollsters see no way for Trump to catch Biden in Arizona