ARIZONA NEWS

President Donald Trump trails Joe Biden again in Arizona poll

Jul 16, 2020, 10:30 AM
(AP Photos)...
(AP Photos)
(AP Photos)

PHOENIX – Likely voters in Arizona remained consistent in a presidential poll released Thursday, with Joe Biden staying ahead of incumbent Donald Trump.

OH Predictive Insights’ survey of 600 likely voters had the Democratic former vice president leading, 49%-44%. Trump made up some ground since a May poll, when Biden led 50%-43%.

But while the Republican closed the gap overall, he fell back when participants were asked to rate their enthusiasm for their candidate.

Voters who said they are extremely enthusiastic to vote for Trump went from 70% in April to 58% in the latest poll. For Biden, his supporters’ enthusiasm went from 60% to 63%.

“Donald Trump has long been able to count on the enthusiasm of his supporters to overwhelm his opponents,” OH Predictive Insights chief of research Mike Noble said in a press release.

“But now Trump and Biden’s voters are expressing the same level of enthusiasm.”


The phone survey was conducted July 6-7. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4%.

According to poll tracking website FiveThirtyEight.com, Biden is leading Trump by 2.6 percentage points in the average of all Arizona presidential polls and 9.1 points in the national polling average.

Seven Arizona polls compiled on the site this month range from Trump plus-4 (Gravis Marketing, the only July poll showing Trump ahead) to Biden plus-7.

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President Donald Trump trails Joe Biden again in Arizona poll