ARIZONA NEWS

Could Maricopa County decide 2020 presidential election?

Sep 6, 2019, 6:30 PM
(Cronkite News Photo)...
(Cronkite News Photo)
(Cronkite News Photo)

PHOENIX – With Arizona a likely battleground state, Maricopa County is one of 10 counties that could be the difference-makers in the 2020 presidential race, according to a recent analysis by The Hill.

The political website interviewed dozens of strategists, political scientists and observers to come up with its list of counties that will determine the outcome of the election.

The article, published Wednesday, said Republicans are worried about Maricopa County because it’s been moving to the left, and GOP candidates rarely win statewide Arizona races without winning its largest county.

Phoenix-based pollster Mike Noble of OH Predictive Insights told The Hill college-educated, middle-class voters are the keys in Maricopa County.

“It’s in these suburban areas where we are seeing the biggest shift in party voter preference,” Noble said. “Those [who] are college-educated or above is where the GOP is currently hurting.”

An OH Predictive Insights poll last month showed President Donald Trump in what was essentially a dead heat against two Democratic front-runners, former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

In 2016, Trump’s edge over Hillary Clinton was about half a percentage point smaller in Maricopa County than it was statewide.

Two years later, Democrats won three statewide elections for offices previously held by Republicans: U.S. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs and Superintendent of Public Instruction Kathy Hoffman.

The other tipping-point counties on The Hill’s list are: Erie County, Pennsylvania; Sauk County, Wisconsin; Muskegon County, Michigan; Tarrant County, Texas; New Hanover County, North Carolina; Peach County, Georgia; Washington County, Minnesota; Hillsborough County, New Hampshire, and Lincoln County, Maine.

Lifetime Windows & Doors

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

(Facebook Photo/Wendy Rogers)...
KTAR.com

Arizona Senate votes to open ethics investigation over Wendy Rogers’ post on Buffalo shooting

The Arizona Senate on Monday voted to open an ethics investigation over Wendy Rogers' social media post regarding the shooting in Buffalo over the weekend that left 10 dead.
17 hours ago
Maricopa County flag...
Kevin Stone

Tentative $4.46B Maricopa County budget includes property tax rate reduction

The Maricopa County Board of Supervisors unanimously approved a tentative $4.46 billion budget that would increase spending while lowering the property tax rate.
17 hours ago
(Yelp Photo)...
KTAR.com

Celebrate National Barbecue Day with these metro Phoenix restaurants

It's the perfect day for barbecue lovers in metro Phoenix to indulge guilt-free. Here's where to eat for National Barbecue Day.
17 hours ago
(Facebook Photo/Kris Mayes for Arizona)...
Kevin Stone

Democratic Arizona AG candidate says she wouldn’t prosecute abortion cases

Kris Mayes, Arizona’s lone Democratic candidate for attorney general, said she wouldn’t prosecute abortion cases if Roe vs. Wade gets overturned.
17 hours ago
(Best Buy Photo)...
KTAR.com

Best Buy to convert store near Paradise Valley Mall into outlet

Big-box electronics retailer Best Buy announced plans to open an outlet store in Phoenix later this year.
17 hours ago
(Facebook Photo/Lake Pleasant Regional Park)...
KTAR.com

MCSO divers recover body of 18-year-old from Lake Pleasant

Authorities have recovered the body of swimmer who went under at Lake Pleasant near Peoria on Sunday.
17 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

...
Dr. Richard Carmona

Have you gotten your booster shot?

Do you remember when you got your last COVID-19 vaccination? If it has been more than five months since you completed your primary vaccination series, it’s time for you to get your booster. You may be eligible even sooner depending which vaccine you received. If you are over the age of 50 and received your […]
(Twitter photo / Coco5)...
Coco5

Suns star Devin Booker’s all-natural sports drink Coco5 perfect for any activity

Devin Booker is leading the Suns in pursuit of their first NBA championship while also working to provide people proper hydration with Coco5.
...
Arizona Department of Gaming

While March brings upsets and buzzer-beaters, it also needs to bring caution

In March, basketball fans around the country glue themselves in front of a television for almost 11 hours for four consecutive days.
Could Maricopa County decide 2020 presidential election?