Poll shows Andy Biggs running away from David Schweikert in Arizona GOP governor’s race

U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs holds a 6-to-1 advantage over U.S. Rep. David Schweikert among likely Republican primary voters in Arizona’s race for governor, according to a poll released Tuesday morning by Noble Predictive Insights.

Biggs drew 60% support to Schweikert’s 10%, with 26% of respondents undecided. The other candidates on the ballot, Scott Neely and Ken Miceli, registered at 2% or less.

When the undecided voters were pushed to choose, 68% said they preferred a candidate who is not on the ballot and 7% said they would not vote. Otherwise, Biggs was favored by 11% of the undecideds, with Schweikert at 8%, Miceli at 4% and Neely at 2%.

“Schweikert’s problem is not that there are no undecided voters left,” Mike Noble, founder and CEO of Noble Predictive Insights, said in a press release. “It’s that the undecided voters are not really looking his way. If there were a hidden Schweikert surge, we would expect to see it there. We don’t.”

The survey was conducted from June 29 through July 1, after early voting for the July 21 primary started. The poll of 425 likely Arizona Republican primary voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.75 percentage points.

Andy Biggs extends his lead across three polls

Biggs’ support has been growing throughout the year, according to Noble Predictive Insights polling. He pulled 40% among registered Republicans in February, climbed to 48% in May and now stands well clear of the crucial 50% mark just weeks before Election Day.

Nearly half of the poll’s respondents, 47%, had already cast a ballot. Among them, Biggs led Schweikert 61% to 12%. Among those who had not yet voted, Biggs led 60% to 9%.

“In May, the question was whether Biggs could close it out,” Noble said. “Now, among likely GOP primary voters, he looks like he has. He’s not just leading; he’s lapping the field.”

Biggs and Schweikert opted to run for governor rather than seek reelection to Congress. Biggs has the endorsement of President Donald Trump.

Both candidates have touted their conservative credentials, but Schweikert has argued he would be better positioned to win over the independent voters who often decide general elections in Arizona.

The Republican primary winner will face Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in the Nov. 3 general election.

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