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ABC/Washington Post polls bring good news for Trump, McSally in Arizona

Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) speaks to the crowd with President Donald Trump at a rally at the Arizona Veterans Memorial Coliseum on February 19, 2020 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Caitlin O'Hara/Getty Images)

PHOENIX – Republicans in Arizona received positive news Wednesday in the form of high-profile polls on the state’s closely watched presidential and Senate races.

New ABC News/The Washington Post results showed President Donald Trump with a 1 percentage point lead over former Vice President Joe Biden among Arizona’s likely voters and Sen. Martha McSally just 1 point behind Democratic challenger Mark Kelly.

Arizona is seen as a potential tipping point in the Nov. 3 general election for both the presidential race and the fight for control of the Senate.

It’s the first time ABC News/The Washington Post has polled Arizona’s races, and the results leaned more heavily toward the GOP than most of the surveys completed by other entities.

Just last week, Siena College/The New York Times Upshot released results that showed Biden leading the president by 9 points and Kelly leading McSally by 8 points among likely Arizona voters.

Biden’s Arizona lead was 3.9 points Wednesday, the lowest it’s been this month, according to the average of all polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight.com.

ABC News/The Washington Post, which conducted its polling Sept. 15-20, actually presented two sets of results for the races, one for likely voters and one for registered voters.

The registered voter results were better for the Democrats, with Biden leading by 2 points and Kelly by 5.

The likely voters poll was the first by any kind since Sept. 1 showing Trump ahead of Biden in Arizona, according FiveThirtyEight.com tracking.

OH Predictive Insights, a Phoenix-based firm that’s been taking the pulse of Arizona’s races every month, showed Biden and Kelly each leading by 10 points in polling conducted Sept. 8-10.

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