ARIZONA NEWS

Trump falls into virtual tie with Biden, Warren in Arizona poll

Aug 22, 2019, 9:21 AM
(AP Photos)...
(AP Photos)
(AP Photos)

PHOENIX – A pair of Democrats have pulled into a virtual tie with President Donald Trump in a poll of likely Arizona voters that was released Thursday.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren have closed the gap in a hypothetical head-to-head 2020 general election match-up with the Republican incumbent in OH Predictive Insights’ survey of 600.

The survey, taken Aug. 13-14, had Biden leading Trump, 45%-43%, and Warren trailing, 44%-43%. The tie comes from factoring in the poll’s 4% margin of error.

In May, Biden topped Trump in a similar poll, 49%-44%. In that same poll, Trump led Warren, 47%-42%.

Of the top six Democratic candidates, only Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders trailed Trump by double figures, at 10 percentage points.

“I think we shouldn’t be surprised,” conservative political consultant Stan Barnes of Phoenix told KTAR News 92.3 FM. “When it comes to polls, Donald Trump always underpolls.”

(OH Predictive Insights)

Barnes pointed out that in the 2016 presidential election, Trump’s poll numbers were outpaced by Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.

He won Arizona by more than 3 percentage points.

“The polls don’t always reflect reality,” Barnes said.

KTAR News political expert Mike O’Neil said most observers rated Arizona “very much a toss-up state in the presidential election.”

The poll surveyed 234 Republicans, 163 independents and 203 Democrats. Of that group, 60% were from Maricopa County.

Earlier this week, a poll showed that more than half of Arizona’s likely voters disapproved of the job Trump was doing.

“The biggest red flag is that Trump doesn’t cross the 50 percent threshold in any of these hypothetical match-ups and is hovering in the low-to-mid forties,” pollster Mike Noble said in a statement.

KTAR News 92.3 FM’s Jim Cross contributed to this report.

Lifetime Windows & Doors

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

(El Mirage Police Department Video Screenshot)...
SuElen Rivera

El Mirage police release video of elementary school lockdown

The El Mirage Police Department on Tuesday released body-worn camera footage of an elementary school lockdown where three people were arrested last week. 
1 day ago
(Pexels Photo)...
KTAR.com

Phoenix man gets 25 years in prison for sexual abuse of a child

A Phoenix man last week was sentenced to 25 years in prison for the sexual abuse of a child.
1 day ago
Republican Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey speaks at an event touting a new universal school voucher progra...
Associated Press

Gov. Doug Ducey takes victory lap over Arizona school voucher plan

Republican Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey and backers of universal school vouchers took a victory lap Tuesday over legislation the Republican-controlled Legislature enacted in June.
1 day ago
(Twitter Photo/@DougDucey)...
KTAR.com

Here’s why a portion of Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey’s new border wall was temporarily knocked over

Within days of announcing action to fill in border wall gaps near Yuma, a portion of Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey's new barrier was temporarily knocked over Monday morning. Here's the explanation from the governor's office.
1 day ago
(Twitter Photo/@MaricopaVote)...
Kevin Stone

3-vote margin triggers automatic recount in Maricopa County primary race

One race in the Maricopa County’s recent primary election was so close that it triggered an automatic recount under state law.
1 day ago
(Photo by Oleg Nikishin/Newsmakers)...
Associated Press

Battles rage in Arizona courts over 3 voter initiatives

Proponents of three voter initiatives who each turned in hundreds of thousands of signatures last month to qualify them for the November ballot are trying to beat back legal challenges that could prevent them from going before voters.
1 day ago

Sponsored Articles

...
Sanderson Ford

Don’t let rising fuel prices stop you from traveling Arizona this summer

There's no better time to get out on the open road and see what the beautiful state of Arizona has to offer. But if the cost of gas is putting a cloud over your summer vacation plans, let Sanderson Ford help with their wide-range selection of electric vehicles.
(Courtesy Condor)...
Condor Airlines

Condor Airlines shows passion for destinations from Sky Harbor with new-look aircraft

Condor Airlines brings passion to each flight and connects people to their dream destinations throughout the world.
...
Carla Berg, MHS, Deputy Director, Public Health Services, Arizona Department of Health Services

Update your child’s vaccines before kindergarten

So, your little one starts kindergarten soon. How exciting! You still have a few months before the school year starts, so now’s the time to make sure students-to-be have the vaccines needed to stay safe as they head into a new chapter of life.
Trump falls into virtual tie with Biden, Warren in Arizona poll