ARIZONA NEWS

Biden, Kelly hold onto leads in Arizona poll of likely voters

Oct 27, 2020, 11:30 AM | Updated: 1:17 pm

(AP Photos)...

(AP Photos)

(AP Photos)

PHOENIX – One week before Election Day, a poll of likely Arizona voters showed Democrats Joe Biden and Mark Kelly maintaining leads against Republican incumbents President Donald Trump and U.S. Sen. Martha McSally.

Former Vice President Biden led Trump, 49%-46%, while Kelly was ahead of McSally, 50%-45% in the OH Predictive Insights’ final survey of the election cycle released Tuesday.

The gap between Biden and Trump closed from an Oct. 15 poll when the margin was 49%-45%. That same poll had Kelly leading McSally, 50%-45%, which reflected a 5-point swing in her favor from a September poll.

The Phoenix researchers said that 6 of 10 participants had already voted and Democrats outpaced Republicans.

“Republicans are putting their faith in good weather and short lines Tuesday,” OHPI chief of research Mike Noble said in a press release. “Something as simple as a light drizzle may cost the GOP crucial votes in an already close race.”

The latest phone poll of 716 was conducted Oct. 22-25.

Arizona has traditionally leaned Republican but is viewed as a battleground state this year. The McSally-Kelly race is a key prize in the battle for control of the Senate.

The survey included presidential Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen for a second time. She was the choice for 3% of the participants.

Poll aggregate site FiveThirtyEight.com‘s Tuesday numbers indicated that Biden was “slightly favored” to win the Grand Canyon State. Kelly also was favored to win, but by a wider difference.

The site gave Biden an 88 in 100 chance of winning the White House and Kelly a 78 in 100 chance in capturing his race.

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Pass it along to the KTAR News team here.

Arizona News

automatic recount arizona election law...

Kevin Stone

Here’s what you need to know about Arizona’s automatic recount law

Although it took almost a week for Arizona's U.S. Senate race to be called, it doesn't meet the requirement for an automatic recount.

1 hour ago

The Grand Canyon Railway received federal funding to convert a diesel locomotive to battery power....

Kevin Stone

Grand Canyon Railway gets funding to convert locomotive to battery power

The Grand Canyon Railway in northern Arizona is on track to go greener thanks to a federal grant to convert a locomotive to battery power.

1 hour ago

Amazing Arizonans...

Mike Broomhead

Amazing Arizonans: Michael Zistatsis discusses escape from communism, living American Dream

PHOENIX — The American dream is alive and well. A perfect example of that is in the story from our guest on this episode of Amazing Arizonans. Michael Zistatsis owns two successful restaurants and a successful catering business. Michael came to America and started working at Christo’s as a busboy, eventually working his way up […]

2 hours ago

Summerwell Peoria Place renting community aerial view...

Serena O'Sullivan

First phase of new Peoria rental community ready for residents

A new rental community in Peoria called Summerwell Peoria Place is comprised of 255 duplexes as well as one- and two-story detached homes.

10 hours ago

A man is dead, and a woman was hospitalized after a car crashed into a semi-truck in west Phoenix o...

David Veenstra

1 man dead, 1 woman injured in crash involving semi-truck in west Phoenix

A man is dead, and a woman was hospitalized after a car crashed into a semi-truck in west Phoenix on Monday, according to authorities.

12 hours ago

Peoria police...

Danny Shapiro

Peoria Police arrest man accused of breaking into home, killing 2 people

A man accused of breaking into a home and killing two people in Peoria has been arrested, authorities said Tuesday.

13 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

...

Midwestern University

Midwestern University Clinics – Providing Comprehensive, Thorough and Unrushed Healthcare to the Valley Community

With so many options for healthcare in the Valley, why should you choose a clinic that has graduate medical students integrated into the patient experience?

...

Collins Comfort Masters

Collins Comfort Masters: Leading the Way in HVAC and Plumbing Services in Arizona

Tempe, AZ – Since its inception in 1985, Collins Comfort Masters has been a cornerstone in the HVAC and plumbing industry in Phoenix and the surrounding Valley.

...

Day & Night Air Conditioning, Heating and Plumbing

It wouldn’t hurt to get your AC checked after Arizona’s excruciating heat wave

A well-maintained air conditioning unit is vital to living a comfortable life inside, away from triple-digit heat in Arizona.

Biden, Kelly hold onto leads in Arizona poll of likely voters