A week until Election Day, Sinema leads McSally by 6 points in poll

Oct 30, 2018, 12:04 PM | Updated: 12:04 pm
(AP Photos)...
(AP Photos)
(AP Photos)

PHOENIX — With one week left until Election Day, candidates across Arizona are ramping up their efforts to gain support from registered voters.

But the most-watched race in the state — and one of the most watched in the country — continues to be neck-in-neck.

A newly released NBC/Marist poll found that Kyrsten Sinema, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, held a six-point lead over Republican Martha McSally, 50 percent to 44 percent.

But that does not mean that Sinema will run away with a win: The poll also found that a combined 6 percent of likely voters were undecided or preferred another candidate.

“Arizona may play a pivotal role in determining the makeup of the next Senate,” Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, told NBC News.

“Right now, the contest is very competitive.”

When the ballot options included Green Party candidate Angela Green, Sinema’s lead fell back to 3 points — 47 percent to 44 percent — essentially unchanged from Sinema’s 2-point advantage in September, 45 percent to 43 percent.

Forty-four percent of the voters polled said they already cast their ballots ahead of the Nov. 6 election. Fifty-one percent of those voters said they voted for Sinema, compared to 47 percent for McSally.

The poll was conducted from Oct. 23-27 and included 910 people. The margin of error was 4.1 percent.

Sinema is leading in all but three polls. A HighGround survey released Monday found McSally up by just one point among likely voters. An OH Predictive Insights/ABC15 poll found her leading by six points, while a Vox Populi Polling poll found her up three points.

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A week until Election Day, Sinema leads McSally by 6 points in poll