WASHINGTON — Arizona is expected to post the second-highest rate of job growth among states in 2014, trailing only booming North Dakota, according to a recent report.
The U.S. Regional Outlook 2014 by Moody’s Analytics predicts Arizona will see a 3.1 percent increase in jobs this year, compared to a national average of just under 1.9 percent. North Dakota’s outlook leads all states at 3.6 percent job growth.
Economists said the higher growth rate is a return to the norm for Arizona, which routinely ranked among the top states before being hammered in the recession.
“If you were to look at states over the last 30 or 40 years, you would typically find Arizona among the top – certainly among the top 10, and typically among the top three, four, five,” said Lee McPheters, a research professor at Arizona State University’s W.P. Carey School of Business.
“So it’s not unusual for Arizona to be one of the leading growth states,” said McPheters, who said the state has averaged 4 percent job growth over the last 30 to 40 years.
Moody’s Analytics generates job growth forecasts each month, using a model that accounts for numerous economic factors including state population growth, business-sector growth trends and proprietary information.
Daniel Culbertson, an economist with Moody’s Analytics, said Arizona’s strong job growth in the latest report is “nothing out of the ordinary.”
“Arizona is still going to outpace the U.S., as it has the last two years,” he said,adding that it has a lot to gain from the economic recovery because of its diversified economy.
Arizona’s strengths lie in the finance, health-care and retail sectors, McPheters said.
These observations were echoed by Sapna Gupta, senior policy analyst at ASU’s Morrison Institute for Public Policy. She said more hiring in the construction industry — both residential and commercial — and in health-care fields will continue to provide Arizona with an edge in job growth.
“(Arizona’s) expected job growth in 2014 will certainly get a boost thanks to high-tech companies like Apple opening a plant in Mesa,” Gupta said in an email. “But the high-tech sector does not account for the entire projected job growth. Other sectors of the economy have also been picking up steam, which has led to more hiring.”
McPheters said the recession had hit Arizona harder than the U.S. as a whole, noting that “the U.S. lost about 6 percent of all jobs while Arizona lost about 12 percent.” Now that the state is in “recovery mode” the job growth figures should be returning to normal, he said.
Culbertson said Arizona is likely to see its job growth forecast drop slightly in the next Moody’s report, due in March, because of less-than-anticipated population growth. But Arizona will still be among the top states in 2014, he said.
- Stretches and exercises for carpal tunnel syndrome
- The best Major League ballparks have their own personality
- Comparing the best regular seasons: The '96 Bulls and '16 Warriors
- 3 Arizona road trips and the vehicles to get you there
- Colon cancer is preventable. Check these signs and symptoms to stay healthy.
- 6 of the biggest skin cancer myths
- Affordable small home makeover ideas
- Locals helping locals: 6 success stories you need to know about
- Sunscreen facts that could save your life
- 6 energy saving hacks for your home
- 5 tips for choosing a company to end your timeshare
- Overlooked water tips to save you money
- 5 of the most adored gentlemen in professional sports today
- The real danger of sitting at your desk
- Most surprising NBA playoff performances of the last 40 years
- 11 classic baseball movies you must see again
- Finally getting rid of fat: 3 methods that actually work
- 4 reasons cancer survivors should focus on food
- 5 spring cleaning spots everyone forgets
- 5 reasons to look forward to watching the D-backs this season
- Common virus attributed to spike in head and neck cancers
- 5 signs it’s time to end your timeshare ownership
- 3 most overlooked ways to keep your home healthy
- 6 ways the air in your home could be making you sick
- CrossFit dangers: 5 common injuries and how to deal with them
- Today's radiation treatments offer better success, fewer side effects
- Tips to make watching TV on the patio even better
- What really happens when you donate to a community college?
- Sun and skin cancer: Separating fact from fiction
- 5 critical lifestyle changes for a healthy colon