PHOENIX — The Obama administration seems to be more focused on punishing Syrian President Bashar Assad’s regime than becoming a game-changer in Syria, a former Central Intelligence Agency agent said.
Paul Kinsinger, currently with the Thunderbird School of Global Management and a former CIA agent who specialized in Middle Eastern affairs, said the Assad regime’s use of chemical weapons was clearly out of bounds and the world has drawn boundaries about the use of these weapons. He’s concerned that U.S. opposition is made up, in part, by groups that don’t have America’s best interests in mind.
“This has made it more difficult for the U.S. to make the case to get involved in Syria earlier,” he said. “That opposition is fragmented and there’s easy player to pick and ally around.”
Kinsinger believes the Obama Administration wants to punish the Assad regime but not to the point of making a serious change in that country’s civil war. Kinsinger said there could be serious repercussions to military action by the U.S.
“This could range from terrorist attacks on the United States or a missile launch into Israel as Saddam Hussein did during the first Gulf War,” he said. “Iran could get into this as could Hezbollah. The administration has contingency plans for these possibilities but there’s no way to predict what could happen.”
Kinsinger said Syria’s chief importance to the U.S. is location. It is bordered by countries the United States cares about: Jordan, Turkey, Iraq and Lebanon.