Another poll gives Donald Trump lead in Arizona days before general election
PHOENIX — As Election Day approaches, things are beginning to look up for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in Arizona.
For the second time this week, a poll has given him a statistically significant lead over his rival, Democrat Hillary Clinton, in the Grand Canyon State.
On Thursday, a poll from NBC News, the Wall Street Journal and Marist gave Trump a 5 percentage point lead among likely voters in the state. He holds a 46-41 advantage, which is larger than the poll’s margin of error of 3.7 percentage points for likely voters.
Trump’s lead dropped to 4 percentage points when registered voters were taken into account, but that is still larger than the poll’s 3.2 percentage point margin of error for this subset of respondents.
The poll was conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 1. In all, 1,120 people were contacted by either landline or cellphone and asked several questions about the election.
Of those, 948 were found to be registered voters and, narrowing it further, 719 respondents were classified as likely voters.
Thursday’s poll will likely serve as another encouraging sign to Trump’s campaign. Earlier this week, a poll from CNN/ORC also gave a 5 percentage point lead in Arizona to the Republican.
Statistical analysis website FiveThirtyEight.com said Thursday that Trump is likely to score a narrow victory over Clinton in Arizona and stands a good chance to take all 11 Electoral College votes in the state.