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PHOENIX -- Arizona's 11 electoral votes could be up for grabs, according to a new Rocky Mountain Poll.

The latest poll shows President Barack Obama has 44 percent of the vote in Arizona, two points ahead of Republican challenger Mitt Romney. The poll's research director said who wins here could ultimately come down to the Latino vote.

"If Latinos turn out anywhere near proportionate to their numbers, they're going to be the deciding factor in this election," said Earl De Berge, research director for the Behavior Research Center's Rocky Mountain poll.

De Berge told Fox 10 Latino voters in Arizona heavily favor the president over Romney, 77 percent to 10 percent.

The challenge Democrats face is getting Latinos to head to the polls.

"About 20-25 percent of Latinos say they may not vote," De Berge said.

The poll shows 13 percent of all voters in the state are still undecided.

Aaron Granillo, News Editor

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  • Abuse
    wrote...
    We have been a Rep state for over 50 years
    I do not see a change coming anytime soon. Latinos are undecided because both sides do not provide a viable solution. Do you really blame them. Why vote for one when the other is no better. Realistically doing nothing is worse because you want to be heard and the way to be heard is to vote.
  • Abuse
    Michoacan wrote...
    Clinton carried Arizona in '96.
    Hispanics, though shorted in some ways by Obama's indolence, have far more to lose under an administration whose party has moved heaven and earth to suppress their voting power and to turn the state's police powers disproportionately against them, among other things.
  • Abuse
    Steve wrote...
    so what micho is saying
    Obama is the way to go if you want voter fraud and illegal immigration.
  • Abuse
    Michoacan wrote...
    Poor, befuddled Steve can never seem to
    get it right. Peak illegal immigration years occurred during the most recent Bush administration. Peak illegal immigrant deportation has occurred during the Obama years. Verifiable facts. Also the most recently publicized episodes of voter fraud were sponsored by the Republican Party. Do not expectant acknowledgement of these truths from blind loyalist Steve.
  • Abuse
    Philosoraptor wrote...
    Yeah baby!
    I love swings. We need more swings in this state!
  • Abuse
    wrote...
    Steve
    Sounds like you said that Steve. Don't put words in others mouths.
  • Abuse
    REKCOR wrote...
    over sampled poll
    not buying it!
  • Abuse
    REKCOR wrote...
    LOL
    523 polled in an over sampled poll
  • Abuse
    rhine1784 wrote...
    I disagree
    Hispanics make up about 30% of the population in Arizona. But only 20% of registered voters in the state are Hispanic. In 2008, a record year for Hispanic turnout, they made up just 16% of the overall electorate. The poll being hyped by the media, from Behavior Research Center, does a shifty thing: it weights its sample of interviews based on each demographic's share of the population. It's over sampled!
  • Abuse
    OneWonders wrote...
    Oh great Chemist
    We are gonna be on the verge of bankrupt like CA too...Awesome!!!
    Equal Justice, Not Social Justice.

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