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Monsoon petering out, but winter could be wet

PHOENIX -- After dumping its average of 3 inches of rainfall this summer at Sky Harbor and much more than that in the east Valley there's only a slight chance that the monsoon has anything left to deliver.

"We're looking at a slow demise of moisture and any type of southerly flow that would sustain the monsoon," said Valerie Meyers of the National Weather Service.

Meyers added that El Nino continues to develop in the Pacific Ocean. Ocean temperatures have been warming for weeks and that usually adds up to a wetter and warmer winter in Arizona.

"If everything pans out and we get some good winter rainfall, it will put another dent in the drought."

The last El Nino in 2009-2010 delivered several inches of rainfall in the Valley and 321 inches of snow at Arizona Snowbowl Ski Resort near Flagstaff.

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About the Author


Position: Senior News Reporter. Started with KTAR July 4, 1999.

Favorite spots in Arizona: Pinetop-Lakeside, Alpine, Greer.

Have covered some of the biggest stories in Arizona including nine of the top 10 largest wildfires in state history. The Wallow Fire in 2011 became the largest fire in state history. Rodeo-Chediski Fire in June 2002, which is the second largest fire in Arizona. Covered the Yarnell Hill Tragedy in June 2013 that left 19 Granite Mountain Hotshots dead.

Favorite movies: True Grit, both 1969 John Wayne classic and the remake with Jeff Bridges and Lonesome Dove.

Sports Teams: Washington State University Cougars, Texas Longhorns, The University of Montana Grizzlies.

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